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《中英對照讀新聞》Economist: Leaving EU would boost UK economy by 4 pct 經濟學家:脫離歐盟將推升英國經濟成長4%

2016/05/08 06:00

◎ 茅毅

Britain’s economy would be 4 percent larger 10 years after leaving the European Union than if it stayed in due to benefits from lower tariffs for imports from outside the bloc, economists supporting an exit said on Thursday.

支持脫離歐盟(以下簡稱脫歐)的經濟學家於4月28日指出,因受惠於脫歐後,來自歐盟以外經濟體的進口品之關稅較低,脫歐10年後的英國經濟將比留在歐盟成長4%。

Ahead of a June 23 EU membership referendum, a range of bodies from the country’s finance ministry to the International Monetary Fund have said Britain would be a lot worse off if it lost tariff-free access to the bloc’s single market.

在6月23日歐盟成員國公投前,從英國財政部到國際貨幣基金等各單位稱,倘若英國喪失以零關稅進入歐盟單一市場的待遇,脫歐將令該國經濟更為惡化。

Patrick Minford, a professor of economics at Cardiff University, said Britain should rely on tariff levels agreed at the World Trade Organisation, and that scrapping the EU’s external tariffs would lower consumer prices by 8 percent, and boost gross domestic product by 4 percent after around 10 years.

英國卡地夫大學經濟學教授閔福特認為,英國應仰賴在世界貿易組織所協議的關稅水準,且取消歐盟對外關稅將使得消費者物價降低8%,約10年後可提高4%的國內生產毛額。

The benefits of bilateral trade deals were overrated and a lot of foreign investment was drawn to Britain by its underlying competitive strengths rather than its access to the rest of the EU, Minford said at a news conference in London organised by economists who support a so-called Brexit.

閔福特在倫敦一場由支持所謂英國脫歐的經濟學家所主辦之記者會中提到,(與歐盟)雙邊貿易協議的好處被誇大,且英國吸引諸多外資的主因在於其擁有的潛在競爭力,而非以其為跳板進入歐盟其他成員國。

"There is no need for us to go off chasing a million trade deals with the rest of the world. They are irrelevant," he said.

閔福特說道:「我們無須放棄尋求與歐盟以外的全球其他經濟體簽署達100萬個貿易協議之可能性,它們(與留在歐盟)是兩回事。」

新聞辭典

a range of:片語,一系列、各種。例句:We must be prepared to deal with a range of possible cases.(我們得就各種可能的情況預作準備。)

underlying:形容詞,在下面的。例句:The investigation focused on the underlying causes of the fire.(朝這起火災發生的潛在因素進行調查。)

go off:片語,離開。例句:She’s gone off on holiday with him.(她和他度假去了。)

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